Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 2.485629 2.643636 2.811070 3.002479 3.216210 3.448659 3.722138
2026-01-04 2.189920 2.399278 2.632501 2.914204 3.248904 3.638690 4.134391
2026-01-11 2.043867 2.283521 2.559602 2.906077 3.336624 3.864621 4.578994
2026-01-18 1.964222 2.230812 2.546789 2.956776 3.487209 4.169784 5.150763
2026-01-25 2.046276 2.373298 2.775493 3.321122 4.067518 5.097050 6.719212
2026-02-01 1.905529 2.228220 2.630913 3.187123 3.965797 5.072381 6.889783
2026-02-08 1.775125 2.088210 2.483127 3.035947 3.823517 4.968740 6.912267
2026-02-15 1.703476 2.019219 2.422973 2.998005 3.836160 5.092823 7.323424
2026-02-22 1.627699 1.940750 2.345333 2.929400 3.796355 5.128886 7.584575
2026-03-01 1.549502 1.855557 2.254231 2.835643 3.710643 5.081510 7.683684
2026-03-08 1.468135 1.763095 2.149301 2.716296 3.577429 4.943946 7.590643
2026-03-15 1.433561 1.731635 2.126093 2.713305 3.622439 5.105065 8.105662
2026-03-22 1.387583 1.687684 2.089884 2.698700 3.663633 5.291719 8.778997
2026-03-29 1.324319 1.618392 2.015974 2.624861 3.606054 5.302784 9.094622
2026-04-05 1.287522 1.583422 1.988202 2.617988 3.656272 5.514722 9.932319
2026-04-12 1.268593 1.572008 1.992974 2.660679 3.793053 5.910926 11.378838
2026-04-19 1.322933 1.665557 2.155338 2.965206 4.428077 7.460840 17.164874
2026-04-26 1.263330 1.593413 2.066899 2.853661 4.285622 7.292847 17.201040
2026-05-03 1.203292 1.518880 1.972251 2.727186 4.105765 7.017274 16.735661
2026-05-10 1.170662 1.483119 1.935134 2.695336 4.105369 7.164755 18.049741
2026-05-17 1.133547 1.439616 1.884462 2.637638 4.049526 7.170514 18.794463
2026-05-24 1.093135 1.390167 1.822996 2.558552 3.945591 7.043981 18.892814
2026-05-31 1.049174 1.334490 1.750381 2.457487 3.791881 6.776673 18.230101